Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.366854 0.405579 0.447137 0.495128 0.549120 0.608094 0.677535
2025-04-27 0.306773 0.360881 0.423219 0.500695 0.594875 0.706246 0.848793
2025-05-04 0.272029 0.333417 0.407570 0.504429 0.628616 0.783856 0.994732
2025-05-11 0.245928 0.311468 0.393699 0.505538 0.655354 0.851491 1.131645
2025-05-18 0.227429 0.296261 0.385502 0.511225 0.686265 0.925050 1.281908
2025-05-25 0.206369 0.275244 0.367038 0.500282 0.692021 0.963050 1.384433
2025-06-01 0.194703 0.265574 0.362549 0.507419 0.722668 1.037689 1.546967
2025-06-08 0.181313 0.252213 0.351498 0.503640 0.736234 1.087433 1.675662
2025-06-15 0.171848 0.243559 0.346224 0.507440 0.760807 1.155201 1.839204
2025-06-22 0.160407 0.231101 0.334297 0.499891 0.766615 1.193288 1.956958
2025-06-29 0.150911 0.220817 0.324763 0.495038 0.775847 1.237049 2.088224
2025-07-06 0.138648 0.205522 0.306504 0.474827 0.758011 1.233669 2.134913
2025-07-13 0.133032 0.200243 0.303612 0.479517 0.782620 1.305687 2.328908
2025-07-20 0.127899 0.195392 0.301055 0.484527 0.808165 1.381764 2.540024
2025-07-27 0.122922 0.190431 0.297908 0.488146 0.831314 1.455322 2.754736
2025-08-03 0.117849 0.184977 0.293543 0.489212 0.849747 1.521555 2.962458
2025-08-10 0.113998 0.181279 0.291818 0.494690 0.876578 1.606040 3.218569
2025-08-17 0.107577 0.172901 0.281620 0.484151 0.872204 1.628881 3.344416
2025-08-24 0.104612 0.170208 0.281013 0.491024 0.901768 1.722211 3.638472
2025-08-31 0.100124 0.164637 0.275018 0.487385 0.910244 1.772897 3.841332
2025-09-07 0.097093 0.161426 0.272991 0.491044 0.933526 1.856676 4.133194
2025-09-14 0.092609 0.155412 0.265571 0.483774 0.933760 1.890758 4.308545
2025-09-21 0.088792 0.150399 0.259691 0.479100 0.938975 1.936160 4.518228